Congress, the states and the numbers behind them

U.S. midterm elections 2026

The entire House and a third of the Senate are elected on November 3, 2026. See today's composition from official sources, what is at stake in each state and which data is still missing. No forecasts.

Upcoming20 days to election dayHow to vote (vote.gov)

Control of Congress

Today's composition is not a 2026 result.

House of Representatives

435 seats up · 218 = majority

D 214R 219

Current composition · Source published October 1, 2026 · Checked October 13, 2026
By caucus	D	R	vacant
By caucus	214	219	2

By party: R 218 · D 214 · I 1. One independent sits with the Republican caucus according to the Clerk.

Senate

34 seats up (confirmed) · 51 = majority (the vice president breaks 50–50 ties)

D 45R 53

Current composition (By party) · Checked October 13, 2026
By party	D	R	I
By party	45	53	2

33 × regular Class II · term to 2033-01
1 × special OH · term to 2029-01
A possible Florida special election is not confirmed by an official source at valg.info and is not counted.
Which caucus the independents join is not recorded from a source here. Party division is not the same as control.

Results tracking

All 435 House races have no results. Counts, calls and certification appear only when an official source publishes them.

Control: undetermined435 without result · majority: 218 · D 0 · R 0

Explore states and districts

Districts and holders from the Clerk roster. Candidate coverage is shown per state.

Districts are those in the current membership roster. Changed 2026 election boundaries are not mapped here; a current holder is not automatically a 2026 candidate in the same area.

State

Maryland

House of Representatives – 2026 candidatesAvailable

22 active candidate filings across 8 districts are staged from the state list. Names are shown after named review (Lars Føleide, October 13, 2026) of this exact source version.

GovernorAvailable

4 active governor tickets with running mates are staged. Names are shown after review of the same source version.

SenateNot covered

Whether this state has a regular 2026 Senate race is not imported per state (the source returned HTTP 403).

Districts (current holder) · Clerk 2026-10-01
District	Held by	By caucus	2026 candidates
MD-1	Andy Harris (R)	R	Dan Schwartz (Democratic) Andy Harris (Republican) Edward Shlikas (Unaffiliated, registered write-in, not printed on the ballot)
MD-2	Johnny Olszewski (D)	D	John "Johnny O" Olszewski, Jr. (Democratic) Dave Wallace (Republican)
MD-3	Sarah Elfreth (D)	D	Sarah Elfreth (Democratic) Berney Flowers (Republican) Robert L. Coffman (Republican, registered write-in, not printed on the ballot)
MD-4	Glenn Ivey (D)	D	Glenn F. Ivey (Democratic) George E. McDermott (Republican) Sam Husseini (Green)
MD-5	Steny Hoyer (D)	D	Adrian Boafo (Democratic) Chris Chaffee (Republican) Mildred Marie Hall (Other Candidates, registered write-in, not printed on the ballot)
MD-6	April McClain Delaney (D)	D	April McClain Delaney (Democratic) Robin Ficker (Republican) Moshe Y. Landman (Green)
MD-7	Kweisi Mfume (D)	D	Kweisi Mfume (Democratic) Scott M. Collier (Republican)
MD-8	Jamie Raskin (D)	D	Jamie Raskin (Democratic) Cheryl Riley (Republican) Nancy Wallace (Green)

Governor: 4 filings (Democratic, Green, Republican, Working Class Party). 5 inactive filings (withdrawn/failed) are excluded. These are state filings, not the state senate and not a nationwide roster.

Maryland 2026 candidate directory

Source: Maryland State Board of Elections, retrieved October 13, 2026 (version sha256 c2af2098a27e…). Reviewed by Lars Føleide on October 13, 2026, limited to: 26 active Maryland filings (22 U.S. House across 8 districts, 4 governor tickets). This approval does not cover the explanations on the page.

Contest

Party label

Status

3 of 26 candidates

Scroll the tables horizontally to see every fact. Comparison controls appear beside each name.

U.S. House, Maryland district 1
Name	Party label	Status	Filed
Dan Schwartz	Democratic	Listed candidate	June 25, 2025
Andy Harris	Republican	Listed candidate	February 2, 2026
Edward Shlikas	Unaffiliated	Registered write-in (not printed on the ballot)	January 14, 2026

Comparison

Choose 2–4 candidates in the same contest. The selection is kept only in the link.

National polls (generic ballot)

The question asks which party people would vote for in Congress nationally. It is not a district race and does not say who wins a majority.

Sources: Marist, Emerson · Not a licensed or live poll feed
Pollster	Fieldwork	Population	Sample	D	R	Uncertainty
Marist	2026-09-14 – 2026-09-15	Registered voters	1,280	53 %	41 %	±3.8 (margin of error)
Emerson College	2026-09-21 – 2026-09-22	Likely voters	1,000	53 %	42 %	±3 (credibility interval)

Descriptive average

Only polls with the same population, response set and contest are combined. With one pollster per population the "average" is just that poll.

Registered votersD 53.0 % · R 41.0 % · 1 pollsterdescriptive-average-1 · not calibrated, not a forecast
Likely votersD 53.0 % · R 42.0 % · 1 pollsterdescriptive-average-1 · not calibrated, not a forecast

Publication dates: Marist September 23 (page), Emerson September 24 (page publication metadata). Retrieved/checked October 13. Undecided shares are not imported; D/R shares are not normalized to 100 percent. This is a limited dated selection, not all polls. Automated recheck returned HTTP 403. Figures were checked with an AI-assisted source reader on October 13. This source version is covered by the page approval of October 13, 2026. Method: conducted September 21–22, 2026, n=1,000 likely voters, credibility interval ±3 (not a sampling margin of error).

What if the polls are wrong?

Compare selected 2020 and 2024 presidential polls with official vote counts. Historical errors do not calibrate the 2026 midterms.

Open historical polling errors

Scenario lab

Enter your own races and assumptions. The output is a conditional calculation, not a forecast or a probability. A majority is never shown without a complete set of 435 races.

Your own numbersEnter your own baseline margins. Official historical margins and compatible district boundaries are not imported yet. Your inputs are your own assumptions.

Race
Race	Baseline margin (D minus R, points)	Remove

Uniform shift (points)

Assumed error (standard deviation)

Correlation between races

Seed

Result of your assumptions

Add races and your own assumptions to calculate scenarios.

Explainer and history

What is a midterm?

Midterms fall halfway through the president's four-year term. The president is not on the ballot; Congress is.

Who sets the rules?

States administer the election: registration, hours, early voting, ballots, counting and certification, so the rules differ by state.

Calls are not results

Media organizations "call" races from their own analysis. Official reported counts can be preliminary. Certified results follow state certification. Media calls stay separate from both.

Historical results

The FEC publishes a historical compilation of official federal results after states certify them. It is not a live feed. Congressional history is not imported in this overview. Selected presidential polls and results are in the separate historical polling lab.

Dates

November 3, 2026Federal general election dayU.S. midterms

Confirmed hours use the election’s timezone. Date entries without hours do not confirm opening times.

Sources

Election dates and official results ↗Federal Election Commission · Checked October 13, 2026 · read with AI assistanceStates November 3, 2026 as the next regularly scheduled federal general election. States run voting hours, ballot access and certification. FEC's historical compilation is not an election-night feed.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
The House explained ↗U.S. House of Representatives · Checked October 13, 2026 · read with AI assistance435 voting seats, two-year terms.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
Member roster (MemberData.xml) ↗Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives · Checked October 13, 2026 · retrieved automaticallyPublished 2026-10-01. Imported with scripts/import_us_house_roster.py. Non-voting delegates are excluded; contact data is not stored.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
Senators and party division ↗U.S. Senate · Checked October 13, 2026 · read with AI assistanceChecked through AI-assisted reading of the public source. This source version is covered by Lars Føleide’s page approval of October 13, 2026. Automated retrieval returned HTTP 403 and is not bypassed. Must be rechecked before each publication.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
Class II senators (terms expire January 2027) ↗U.S. Senate · Checked October 13, 2026 · read with AI assistance33 regular seats. Automated retrieval returned HTTP 403, so the state list is not imported.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
Ohio: writ of special election for U.S. Senate ↗Ohio Secretary of State · Checked October 13, 2026 · read with AI assistanceSpecial election on November 3, 2026 for the term ending January 2029.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
Maryland: 2026 U.S. House candidate list ↗Maryland State Board of Elections · Checked October 13, 2026 · retrieved automaticallyRetrieved 2026-10-13 with scripts/import_us_maryland.py (sha256 c2af2098a27e…). The raw file is not marked reviewed; names appear only while its sha256 matches the approval.Factual election metadata only. No photos, statements, addresses, emails or gender imported.
Maryland: 2026 governor candidate list ↗Maryland State Board of Elections · Checked October 13, 2026 · retrieved automaticallyRetrieved 2026-10-13 with scripts/import_us_maryland.py (sha256 a06ece681566…). The raw file is not marked reviewed; names appear only while its sha256 matches the approval.Factual election metadata only. No photos, statements, addresses, emails or gender imported.
New York: certification for the November 3, 2026 general election ↗New York State Board of Elections · Checked October 13, 2026 · automated retrieval blockedAmended certification of October 7, 2026 (read with AI assistance). Automated retrieval returned HTTP 403; nominees are not imported.Public U.S. government information. Facts restated with a link.
Marist, September 2026 ↗Marist Poll · Checked October 13, 2026 · read with AI assistanceAutomated recheck returned HTTP 403. Figures were checked with an AI-assisted source reader on October 13. This source version is covered by the page approval of October 13, 2026.Attributed under Marist's terms of use (maristpoll.marist.edu/terms-of-use). No full reprint.
Emerson, national poll September 2026 ↗Emerson College Polling · Checked October 13, 2026 · retrieved automaticallyMethod: conducted September 21–22, 2026, n=1,000 likely voters, credibility interval ±3 (not a sampling margin of error).Facts and method restated with a link. Reuse rights beyond that are not established.

Review: Reviewed by Lars Føleide, October 13, 2026. The NTNU autumn 2026 and U.S. 2026 midterm pages (Norwegian and English) with the source-linked review packet, as of version 7bd5783. Later changes, Norway 2027, international pages and the economy page are not covered. Checked against official sources with AI assistance, then approved without corrections.